Democrats in Minnesota Just Handed Republicans A Huge Win in the Primaries

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Democrats in Minnesota Just Handed Republicans A Huge Win in the Primaries

Michele Tafoya won the Minnesota Republican Senate primary on Tuesday night with 53.1% of the vote — a 29-point margin over her closest rival, former Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze. A huge win.

Then Democrats looked at what Republicans just nominated — a famous, likable, Emmy-winning broadcaster with crossover appeal — and responded by putting up Minnesota Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan.

Flanagan, for those who don't know, supports Medicare for All, wants to ban so-called assault weapons, has called for dismantling ICE, opposes weapons sales to Israel, has accused Israel of committing genocide in Gaza, and defends cutting off the breasts of pre-teen girls.

Tafoya, a former NBC Sports reporter, has spent the last four years building a political brand rooted in what she calls common sense. Her victory speech kept it tight: she's running to "bring common sense back to Washington, fight fraud, hold those responsible accountable, and win in November."

It should be noted that no Republican has won a U.S. Senate seat in Minnesota since Norm Coleman in 2002. That's 24 years of blue locks on both seats. The conventional wisdom says Minnesota can't be flipped.

But conventional wisdom assumed Democrats would nominate someone who at least pretends to be moderate. Instead, they went with Tim Walz's lieutenant governor — a candidate whose policy positions read like a DSA wish list dropped into a state that still has a lot of deer hunters and church parking lots.

Tafoya's appeal is the kind that gives political consultants heartburn because it doesn't fit neatly into a spreadsheet. She spent decades in living rooms across America on Sunday afternoons talking to them about football. People know her voice. They trust her. That's not something you can manufacture with ad buys, and it's not something you can counter by running further to the left.

Flanagan's team will spend the next three months trying to make Tafoya look extreme. Good luck. The woman spent her career interviewing linebackers with broken fingers and keeping her composure on live television during blizzard games.

The real question isn't whether Tafoya can compete in Minnesota. It's why Democrats looked at a 29-point primary blowout by a candidate with universal name recognition and decided the answer was a lieutenant governor who wants to dismantle ICE and cut off the genitals of pre-pubescent kids.

Sometimes the opponent picks your campaign strategy for you. This might be one of those races where Republicans didn't just find a good candidate — Democrats found a way to make the map easier.


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